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Red85
447316.3
568724.8
632936.8
Blue44
12474.9
490517.6
264823.7
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6746204060801008544

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.81.8
33.935.7
Auto10.7
Teleop23.2
End2.9
red by 13.0
23.71.0
21.020.0
Auto8.8
Teleop12.9
End2.1
Second
24.81.5
11.412.9
Auto8.1
Teleop14.5
End2.3
red by 7.2
4905
#13
17.61.1
15.814.7
Auto5.6
Teleop10.2
End1.8
Third
16.31.8
12.614.4
Auto6.2
Teleop9.4
End0.7
red by 11.4
1247
#29
4.91.1
7.36.1
Auto2.3
Teleop1.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsEarned37%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed