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Red59
615315.4
127718.4
632828.0
Blue35
5821.9
2386.4
15711.1
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions603002040801005935

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.2
24.224.0
Auto13.0
Teleop12.4
End2.7
red by 6.1
58
#12
21.90.4
16.617.0
Auto9.9
Teleop10.0
End1.9
Second
1277
#19
18.40.2
15.815.6
Auto7.3
Teleop9.4
End1.7
red by 7.4
157
#33
11.10.4
9.810.2
Auto3.8
Teleop6.4
End0.9
Third
6153
#23
15.40.1
10.610.4
Auto3.8
Teleop10.7
End0.9
red by 8.9
238
#31
6.40.4
4.04.4
Auto3.4
Teleop2.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed