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Red52
127718.4
81115.2
872415.3
Blue70
90559.4
264823.7
568724.8
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5542102030506070805270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1277
#19
18.40.4
16.016.4
Auto7.3
Teleop9.4
End1.7
blue by 6.4
24.82.1
12.915.0
Auto8.1
Teleop14.5
End2.3
Second
8724
#26
15.30.4
16.316.6
Auto6.7
Teleop7.9
End0.6
blue by 8.5
23.72.5
20.022.4
Auto8.8
Teleop12.9
End2.1
Third
811
#25
15.20.3
16.116.3
Auto7.5
Teleop6.8
End0.8
red by 5.7
9055
#22
9.42.6
6.69.3
Auto2.3
Teleop5.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsEarned42%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed