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Red72
192223.5
632936.8
12612.9
Blue32
52655.9
346727.4
13077.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8144020601001207232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.81.6
35.734.1
Auto10.7
Teleop23.2
End2.9
red by 9.4
27.41.6
25.724.0
Auto8.8
Teleop16.2
End2.4
Second
23.51.6
20.719.1
Auto7.9
Teleop13.2
End2.4
red by 16.1
1307
#32
7.42.1
10.17.9
Auto2.3
Teleop3.1
End2.0
Third
126
#18
12.91.5
12.410.9
Auto5.1
Teleop5.0
End2.8
red by 7.0
5265
#34
5.92.1
8.56.3
Auto1.2
Teleop4.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed