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Red46
447316.3
13077.4
490924.2
Blue83
568724.8
127718.4
13821.0
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions436220801004683

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4909
#11
24.20.0
20.020.0
Auto9.3
Teleop12.9
End2.0
blue by 0.6
24.81.6
17.419.0
Auto8.1
Teleop14.5
End2.3
Second
16.30.0
13.013.0
Auto6.2
Teleop9.4
End0.7
blue by 4.8
138
#10
21.02.0
19.621.6
Auto8.4
Teleop9.8
End2.9
Third
1307
#32
7.40.0
7.97.9
Auto2.3
Teleop3.1
End2.0
blue by 11.0
1277
#19
18.42.0
16.518.5
Auto7.3
Teleop9.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed61%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned