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Red49
490517.6
2386.4
905610.1
Blue43
54915.4
90559.4
192223.5
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25450204060804943

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4905
#13
17.61.2
14.515.7
Auto5.6
Teleop10.2
End1.8
blue by 5.8
23.50.2
22.021.8
Auto7.9
Teleop13.2
End2.4
Second
9056
#20
10.11.1
7.99.0
Auto3.6
Teleop4.6
End1.9
red by 0.7
9055
#22
9.40.2
9.99.7
Auto2.3
Teleop5.2
End1.9
Third
238
#31
6.40.9
2.93.8
Auto3.4
Teleop2.5
End0.5
red by 1.1
5491
#35
5.40.2
6.26.1
Auto2.4
Teleop2.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsEarned16%Ensemble oddsMissed