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Red31
870811.2
791315.1
615315.4
Blue54
35665.6
490615.4
632936.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33660204060801003154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6153
#23
15.40.2
12.712.5
Auto3.8
Teleop10.7
End0.9
blue by 21.4
36.80.1
34.134.0
Auto10.7
Teleop23.2
End2.9
Second
7913
#27
15.10.2
10.310.0
Auto2.4
Teleop10.8
End1.9
blue by 0.3
4906
#17
15.40.2
15.115.0
Auto5.2
Teleop7.6
End2.5
Third
8708
#21
11.20.2
10.810.6
Auto5.5
Teleop5.1
End0.7
red by 5.7
3566
#30
5.60.1
6.46.3
Auto0.8
Teleop3.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed51%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed