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Red52
80238.5
404112.4
192223.5
Blue33
872415.3
54915.4
5821.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474630405060705233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.50.0
21.821.8
Auto7.9
Teleop13.2
End2.4
red by 1.6
58
#12
21.90.6
20.419.8
Auto9.9
Teleop10.0
End1.9
Second
4041
#14
12.40.0
11.911.9
Auto4.5
Teleop7.0
End0.9
blue by 2.8
8724
#26
15.30.7
16.015.3
Auto6.7
Teleop7.9
End0.6
Third
8023
#28
8.50.0
8.58.5
Auto3.2
Teleop4.0
End1.3
red by 3.1
5491
#35
5.40.7
6.15.4
Auto2.4
Teleop2.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsEarned4%Ensemble oddsMissed