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Red74
632936.8
346727.4
90559.4
Blue51
5821.9
490924.2
127718.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions643720801007451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.82.2
24.226.4
Auto10.7
Teleop23.2
End2.9
red by 12.6
4909
#11
24.20.1
15.815.7
Auto9.3
Teleop12.9
End2.0
Second
27.42.2
22.724.9
Auto8.8
Teleop16.2
End2.4
red by 5.5
58
#12
21.90.1
7.57.4
Auto9.9
Teleop10.0
End1.9
Third
9055
#22
9.42.2
7.69.8
Auto2.3
Teleop5.2
End1.9
blue by 9.0
1277
#19
18.40.1
13.613.5
Auto7.3
Teleop9.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed