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Red36
12474.9
870811.2
35665.6
Blue8
52655.9
447316.3
490517.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3046020406080100368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8708
#21
11.21.1
10.69.5
Auto5.5
Teleop5.1
End0.7
blue by 6.4
4905
#13
17.63.5
17.614.1
Auto5.6
Teleop10.2
End1.8
Second
3566
#30
5.61.1
8.37.2
Auto0.8
Teleop3.5
End1.3
blue by 10.7
16.33.5
12.69.1
Auto6.2
Teleop9.4
End0.7
Third
1247
#29
4.91.1
9.98.8
Auto2.3
Teleop1.7
End0.9
blue by 1.0
5265
#34
5.93.5
9.45.9
Auto1.2
Teleop4.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed34%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsMissed