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Red68
15711.1
5821.9
447316.3
Blue81
490924.2
192223.5
944315.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5072204060801001206881

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
#12
21.90.4
21.521.9
Auto9.9
Teleop10.0
End1.9
blue by 2.3
4909
#11
24.20.4
24.124.5
Auto9.3
Teleop12.9
End2.0
Second
16.30.4
15.816.3
Auto6.2
Teleop9.4
End0.7
blue by 7.2
23.50.4
23.323.7
Auto7.9
Teleop13.2
End2.4
Third
157
#33
11.10.4
10.611.1
Auto3.8
Teleop6.4
End0.9
blue by 4.2
9443
#16
15.30.4
15.215.6
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End2.0