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Red105
568724.8
632936.8
2386.4
Blue51
490924.2
192223.5
944315.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67712040608010012014010551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.81.0
34.535.4
Auto10.7
Teleop23.2
End2.9
red by 12.6
4909
#11
24.20.3
24.524.2
Auto9.3
Teleop12.9
End2.0
Second
24.81.0
22.523.5
Auto8.1
Teleop14.5
End2.3
red by 1.4
23.50.3
23.723.5
Auto7.9
Teleop13.2
End2.4
Third
238
#31
6.41.0
4.15.1
Auto3.4
Teleop2.5
End0.5
blue by 8.8
9443
#16
15.30.3
15.615.3
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End2.0