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Red93
568724.8
632936.8
2386.4
Blue55
872415.3
13821.0
9523.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64673040506080901001109355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.80.4
33.534.0
Auto10.7
Teleop23.2
End2.9
red by 13.7
95
#15
23.10.2
23.423.3
Auto10.5
Teleop11.7
End0.9
Second
24.80.4
21.522.0
Auto8.1
Teleop14.5
End2.3
red by 3.8
138
#10
21.00.2
21.421.2
Auto8.4
Teleop9.8
End2.9
Third
238
#31
6.40.4
3.23.6
Auto3.4
Teleop2.5
End0.5
blue by 8.8
8724
#26
15.30.2
15.315.1
Auto6.7
Teleop7.9
End0.6