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Red108
346727.4
615315.4
13124.4
Blue74
127718.4
490517.6
264823.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions726640608010012010874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.40.8
26.727.5
Auto8.8
Teleop16.2
End2.4
red by 3.7
23.70.0
24.024.0
Auto8.8
Teleop12.9
End2.1
Second
131
#6
24.40.8
23.324.1
Auto9.2
Teleop10.9
End4.4
red by 6.0
1277
#19
18.40.0
18.718.6
Auto7.3
Teleop9.4
End1.7
Third
6153
#23
15.40.8
14.315.1
Auto3.8
Teleop10.7
End0.9
blue by 2.3
4905
#13
17.60.0
17.917.9
Auto5.6
Teleop10.2
End1.8