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Red44
404112.4
12612.9
490615.4
Blue73
447316.3
5821.9
15711.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44492060801004473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4906
#17
15.40.1
15.315.4
Auto5.2
Teleop7.6
End2.5
blue by 6.5
58
#12
21.90.6
20.220.8
Auto9.9
Teleop10.0
End1.9
Second
126
#18
12.90.1
12.812.9
Auto5.1
Teleop5.0
End2.8
blue by 3.4
16.30.6
14.515.2
Auto6.2
Teleop9.4
End0.7
Third
4041
#14
12.40.1
12.312.4
Auto4.5
Teleop7.0
End0.9
red by 1.4
157
#33
11.10.6
9.310.0
Auto3.8
Teleop6.4
End0.9