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Red75
9523.1
13821.0
872415.3
Blue62
127718.4
490517.6
264823.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions676650607080907562

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
#15
23.10.1
23.323.4
Auto10.5
Teleop11.7
End0.9
blue by 0.6
23.70.2
24.023.7
Auto8.8
Teleop12.9
End2.1
Second
138
#10
21.00.1
21.221.3
Auto8.4
Teleop9.8
End2.9
red by 2.6
1277
#19
18.40.2
18.618.4
Auto7.3
Teleop9.4
End1.7
Third
8724
#26
15.30.1
15.115.3
Auto6.7
Teleop7.9
End0.6
blue by 2.4
4905
#13
17.60.3
17.917.6
Auto5.6
Teleop10.2
End1.8