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Red106
632828.0
791315.1
105830.5
Blue83
490924.2
192223.5
944315.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79634010012010683

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.50.6
29.129.7
Auto10.9
Teleop17.7
End2.0
red by 6.3
4909
#11
24.20.5
23.023.5
Auto9.3
Teleop12.9
End2.0
Second
28.00.6
26.627.2
Auto13.0
Teleop12.4
End2.7
red by 4.6
23.50.5
22.222.7
Auto7.9
Teleop13.2
End2.4
Third
7913
#27
15.10.7
13.514.2
Auto2.4
Teleop10.8
End1.9
blue by 0.2
9443
#16
15.30.5
14.014.5
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End2.0