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Red82
568724.8
632936.8
2386.4
Blue77
13124.4
615315.4
346727.4
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6475020401001201401608277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.80.3
34.034.2
Auto10.7
Teleop23.2
End2.9
red by 9.4
27.40.1
27.527.4
Auto8.8
Teleop16.2
End2.4
Second
24.80.3
22.022.3
Auto8.1
Teleop14.5
End2.3
red by 0.4
131
#6
24.40.1
24.124.0
Auto9.2
Teleop10.9
End4.4
Third
238
#31
6.40.3
3.63.9
Auto3.4
Teleop2.5
End0.5
blue by 8.9
6153
#23
15.40.1
15.115.0
Auto3.8
Teleop10.7
End0.9