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Red55
13128.4
242314.1
172918.0
Blue33
50112.6
490517.6
16621.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73620501001505533

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#6Sur
28.40.6
34.233.6
Auto12.1
Teleop11.4
End4.9
red by 7.2
166
#10
21.31.6
26.324.7
Auto11.5
Teleop8.0
End1.8
Second
1729
#17
18.00.6
19.318.6
Auto11.5
Teleop6.3
End0.2
red by 0.4
4905
#26
17.61.6
21.219.6
Auto6.8
Teleop8.9
End1.9
Third
14.10.6
11.110.5
Auto6.2
Teleop6.4
End1.4
red by 1.5
501
#9Sur
12.61.6
9.78.1
Auto5.4
Teleop5.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsMissed47%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
36%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed