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Red84
111915.4
63246.0
15119.3
Blue47
110016.7
115324.6
99908.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions486102040801001201401608447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
151
#5
19.30.6
19.820.4
Auto8.0
Teleop10.7
End0.7
blue by 5.3
1153
#13
24.60.9
27.526.5
Auto11.9
Teleop10.5
End2.2
Second
1119
#12Sur
15.40.6
16.917.5
Auto7.9
Teleop6.6
End0.9
blue by 1.3
1100
#21
16.70.9
18.817.9
Auto8.7
Teleop7.2
End0.9
Third
6324
#25
6.00.6
8.49.0
Auto3.7
Teleop1.8
End0.5
blue by 2.5
9990
#27
8.51.6
7.86.2
Auto4.3
Teleop4.2
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed