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Red96
22626.7
175721.2
632833.9
Blue61
87245.4
287725.9
105826.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7759020401001201409661

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.91.6
39.941.5
Auto14.8
Teleop14.7
End4.5
red by 7.1
26.90.4
26.026.3
Auto10.1
Teleop14.6
End2.1
Second
21.21.6
20.321.9
Auto7.6
Teleop11.3
End2.3
blue by 4.8
2877
#14
25.90.4
26.026.4
Auto9.8
Teleop13.3
End2.9
Third
2262
#23
6.71.6
7.69.2
Auto6.9
Teleop-0.4
End0.1
red by 1.3
8724
#18
5.40.4
3.53.9
Auto3.1
Teleop1.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsEarned47%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
44%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed