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Red51
15119.3
99908.5
287617.5
Blue60
16621.3
50916.7
242314.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions476001001502002503003505160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
151
#5
19.30.4
20.420.8
Auto8.0
Teleop10.7
End0.7
blue by 1.9
166
#10
21.30.5
24.725.2
Auto11.5
Teleop8.0
End1.8
Second
17.50.4
17.818.3
Auto10.3
Teleop5.0
End2.3
red by 0.8
509
#15
16.70.5
17.718.2
Auto5.3
Teleop8.7
End2.7
Third
9990
#27
8.50.7
6.27.0
Auto4.3
Teleop4.2
End0.1
blue by 5.6
14.10.5
10.511.0
Auto6.2
Teleop6.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsEarned45%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed