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Red43
346719.4
22626.7
490517.6
Blue68
175721.2
111915.4
115324.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6075020401001201404368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3467
#20
19.41.1
26.825.7
Auto6.5
Teleop10.7
End2.1
blue by 5.2
1153
#13
24.60.5
26.526.0
Auto11.9
Teleop10.5
End2.2
Second
4905
#26
17.61.1
19.618.5
Auto6.8
Teleop8.9
End1.9
blue by 3.6
21.20.5
21.921.4
Auto7.6
Teleop11.3
End2.3
Third
2262
#23
6.71.1
9.28.1
Auto6.9
Teleop-0.4
End0.1
blue by 8.7
1119
#12
15.40.5
17.517.0
Auto7.9
Teleop6.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsMissed74%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed34%Ensemble oddsMissed