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Red64
110016.7
13128.4
10738.9
Blue49
192220.9
87245.4
23814.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions704901001506449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#6
28.40.5
33.633.1
Auto12.1
Teleop11.4
End4.9
red by 7.5
20.90.1
23.123.2
Auto7.5
Teleop10.8
End2.7
Second
1100
#21
16.70.5
17.917.4
Auto8.7
Teleop7.2
End0.9
red by 2.1
238
#22
14.60.1
20.120.2
Auto7.4
Teleop5.4
End1.7
Third
1073
#11
8.90.5
9.69.1
Auto4.5
Teleop3.5
End0.9
red by 3.6
8724
#18
5.40.1
3.94.0
Auto3.1
Teleop1.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsEarned29%Ensemble oddsMissed