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Red49
111915.4
16621.3
110016.7
Blue41
81112.1
10738.9
175721.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions694501001504941

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#10
21.30.7
25.224.4
Auto11.5
Teleop8.0
End1.8
red by 0.1
21.20.2
21.421.2
Auto7.6
Teleop11.3
End2.3
Second
1100
#21
16.70.7
17.416.7
Auto8.7
Teleop7.2
End0.9
red by 4.6
811
#28
12.10.2
13.313.1
Auto6.7
Teleop4.3
End1.2
Third
1119
#12
15.40.7
17.016.3
Auto7.9
Teleop6.6
End0.9
red by 6.4
1073
#11
8.90.2
9.18.9
Auto4.5
Teleop3.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsEarned33%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed