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Red81
13814.9
87245.4
13128.4
Blue25
50916.7
22626.7
15119.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54543040506070808125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#6
28.41.4
33.134.5
Auto12.1
Teleop11.4
End4.9
red by 9.1
151
#5
19.31.5
20.819.3
Auto8.0
Teleop10.7
End0.7
Second
138
#29
14.91.4
13.514.9
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End1.2
blue by 1.9
509
#15
16.71.5
18.216.7
Auto5.3
Teleop8.7
End2.7
Third
8724
#18
5.41.4
4.05.4
Auto3.1
Teleop1.8
End0.5
blue by 1.3
2262
#23
6.71.5
8.16.7
Auto6.9
Teleop-0.4
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsEarned50%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed