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Red28
242314.1
287725.9
110016.7
Blue69
147412.5
346719.4
13128.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67870501001502869

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2877
#14
25.92.3
28.426.0
Auto9.8
Teleop13.3
End2.9
blue by 2.5
131
#6
28.41.1
35.334.2
Auto12.1
Teleop11.4
End4.9
Second
1100
#21
16.72.3
21.118.8
Auto8.7
Teleop7.2
End0.9
blue by 2.7
3467
#20
19.41.1
29.228.1
Auto6.5
Teleop10.7
End2.1
Third
14.12.3
13.511.1
Auto6.2
Teleop6.4
End1.4
red by 1.6
1474
#16
12.51.1
11.710.6
Auto7.0
Teleop3.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
62%Melody oddsMissed84%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed65%Ensemble oddsMissed