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Red14
22626.7
19012.4
87245.4
Blue54
287617.5
17359.3
16621.3
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions267004060801001201401601454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#19
12.40.9
15.214.2
Auto7.8
Teleop3.8
End0.9
blue by 8.8
166
#10
21.30.7
27.026.3
Auto11.5
Teleop8.0
End1.8
Second
2262
#23
6.70.9
8.67.6
Auto6.9
Teleop-0.4
End0.1
blue by 10.9
17.50.7
19.418.7
Auto10.3
Teleop5.0
End2.3
Third
8724
#18
5.40.9
4.43.5
Auto3.1
Teleop1.8
End0.5
blue by 4.0
1735
#24
9.30.7
11.410.7
Auto5.6
Teleop2.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed65%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
2%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed