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Red57
10738.9
15119.3
115324.6
Blue51
632833.9
172918.0
50112.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6084020401001201401605751

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1153
#13
24.60.3
27.827.5
Auto11.9
Teleop10.5
End2.2
blue by 9.3
33.91.5
41.439.9
Auto14.8
Teleop14.7
End4.5
Second
151
#5
19.30.3
20.119.8
Auto8.0
Teleop10.7
End0.7
red by 1.3
1729
#17
18.01.5
20.819.3
Auto11.5
Teleop6.3
End0.2
Third
1073
#11
8.90.3
9.18.8
Auto4.5
Teleop3.5
End0.9
blue by 3.7
501
#9
12.61.5
11.29.7
Auto5.4
Teleop5.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
73%Melody oddsEarned35%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed70%Ensemble oddsMissed