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Red106
346719.4
490517.6
632833.9
Blue69
15119.3
81112.1
111915.4
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83470206010012014016010669

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.90.0
33.933.9
Auto14.8
Teleop14.7
End4.5
red by 14.6
151
#5
19.30.0
19.319.3
Auto8.0
Teleop10.7
End0.7
Second
3467
#20
19.40.0
19.419.4
Auto6.5
Teleop10.7
End2.1
red by 4.0
1119
#12
15.40.0
15.415.4
Auto7.9
Teleop6.6
End0.9
Third
4905
#26
17.65.9
23.517.6
Auto6.8
Teleop8.9
End1.9
red by 5.5
811
#28
12.10.0
12.112.1
Auto6.7
Teleop4.3
End1.2