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Red41
22626.7
287725.9
242314.1
Blue51
147412.5
192220.9
16621.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions506202040801001204151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2877
#14
25.90.0
25.925.9
Auto9.8
Teleop13.3
End2.9
red by 4.7
166
#10
21.30.0
21.321.3
Auto11.5
Teleop8.0
End1.8
Second
14.10.0
14.114.1
Auto6.2
Teleop6.4
End1.4
blue by 6.9
20.90.0
20.920.9
Auto7.5
Teleop10.8
End2.7
Third
2262
#23
6.70.0
6.76.7
Auto6.9
Teleop-0.4
End0.1
blue by 5.8
1474
#16
12.50.9
13.412.5
Auto7.0
Teleop3.6
End1.9