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Red58
111915.4
81112.1
15119.3
Blue100
13128.4
50916.7
115324.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4782010015020058100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
151
#5
19.30.0
19.319.3
Auto8.0
Teleop10.7
End0.7
blue by 9.1
131
#6
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto12.1
Teleop11.4
End4.9
Second
1119
#12
15.40.0
15.415.4
Auto7.9
Teleop6.6
End0.9
blue by 9.2
1153
#13
24.60.0
24.624.6
Auto11.9
Teleop10.5
End2.2
Third
811
#28
12.10.0
12.112.1
Auto6.7
Teleop4.3
End1.2
blue by 4.6
509
#15
16.70.0
16.716.7
Auto5.3
Teleop8.7
End2.7