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Red44
218016.9
249520.5
25549.3
Blue48
46537.9
10328.9
46522.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384720305060704448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.51.0
14.215.1
Auto7.9
Teleop10.7
End2.0
blue by 8.4
103
#3
28.90.7
18.118.8
Auto11.9
Teleop16.2
End0.8
Second
16.91.0
12.013.0
Auto6.3
Teleop9.2
End1.5
red by 9.0
4653
#24
7.90.7
12.513.2
Auto4.7
Teleop2.6
End0.6
Third
2554
#19
9.31.0
9.110.1
Auto5.0
Teleop3.2
End1.1
red by 7.0
4652
#27DQ
2.30.7
11.111.8
Auto1.1
Teleop0.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed