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Red36
180723.2
25778.8
457313.3
Blue25
56669.9
901513.2
201614.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424125303545503625

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.2
17.717.4
Auto10.9
Teleop11.3
End1.0
red by 8.5
2016
#12
14.71.3
12.210.9
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End1.3
Second
4573
#10
13.30.2
11.611.4
Auto5.6
Teleop5.8
End1.9
red by 0.2
9015
#13
13.21.3
14.112.8
Auto5.2
Teleop7.4
End0.5
Third
2577
#20
8.80.1
8.88.7
Auto3.3
Teleop5.3
End0.2
blue by 1.1
5666
#11
9.91.3
10.69.3
Auto2.5
Teleop6.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed