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Red50
901513.2
192329.8
25549.3
Blue29
201614.7
457313.3
162611.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50270204060805029

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.80.8
21.021.8
Auto8.6
Teleop19.9
End1.3
red by 15.1
2016
#12
14.70.2
9.49.6
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End1.3
Second
9015
#13
13.20.8
13.314.1
Auto5.2
Teleop7.4
End0.5
blue by 0.2
4573
#10
13.30.2
9.810.0
Auto5.6
Teleop5.8
End1.9
Third
2554
#19
9.30.8
8.59.3
Auto5.0
Teleop3.2
End1.1
blue by 2.1
1626
#14
11.40.2
8.18.3
Auto3.4
Teleop6.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed