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Red56
162611.4
192329.8
2514.9
Blue35
55519.2
46522.3
91009.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions563302040801005635

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.80.4
24.424.8
Auto8.6
Teleop19.9
End1.3
red by 10.6
555
#4
19.20.3
18.819.1
Auto9.4
Teleop9.1
End0.7
Second
25
#15
14.90.2
12.412.6
Auto4.9
Teleop9.0
End1.0
red by 5.9
9100
#25
9.00.3
6.56.8
Auto4.3
Teleop4.0
End0.7
Third
1626
#14
11.40.4
10.611.0
Auto3.4
Teleop6.8
End1.2
red by 9.1
4652
#27
2.30.3
6.97.2
Auto1.1
Teleop0.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed