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Red59
201614.7
86288.6
10328.9
Blue48
56247.8
56669.9
180723.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423602060805948

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
#3
28.92.4
22.324.7
Auto11.9
Teleop16.2
End0.8
red by 5.7
23.21.1
16.017.0
Auto10.9
Teleop11.3
End1.0
Second
2016
#12
14.72.4
10.713.1
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End1.3
red by 4.8
5666
#11
9.91.1
9.310.4
Auto2.5
Teleop6.7
End0.8
Third
8628
#22
8.62.4
4.67.0
Auto4.6
Teleop3.9
End0.1
red by 0.8
5624
#18
7.80.7
7.98.5
Auto1.1
Teleop5.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed