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Red49
85885.8
25549.3
351511.5
Blue12
68974.7
457313.3
87071.6
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2328010204050604912

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3515
#21
11.50.8
8.18.9
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End0.7
blue by 1.8
4573
#10
13.31.7
13.011.3
Auto5.6
Teleop5.8
End1.9
Second
2554
#19
9.30.8
7.98.7
Auto5.0
Teleop3.2
End1.1
red by 4.6
6897
#23
4.71.7
7.55.9
Auto3.2
Teleop0.9
End0.7
Third
8588
#16
5.80.5
5.86.3
Auto2.3
Teleop2.6
End0.9
red by 4.2
8707
#26
1.61.7
4.42.8
Auto0.8
Teleop0.9
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed