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Red41
192329.8
55519.2
87071.6
Blue77
457313.3
10328.9
219114.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52552040801004177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.80.6
25.825.2
Auto8.6
Teleop19.9
End1.3
red by 0.9
103
#3
28.90.7
25.826.4
Auto11.9
Teleop16.2
End0.8
Second
555
#4
19.20.5
19.018.4
Auto9.4
Teleop9.1
End0.7
red by 4.4
14.80.7
10.811.5
Auto5.6
Teleop8.1
End1.2
Third
8707
#26
1.60.5
2.41.9
Auto0.8
Teleop0.9
End-0.1
blue by 11.7
4573
#10
13.30.7
12.913.6
Auto5.6
Teleop5.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed