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Red31
56669.9
68974.7
351511.5
Blue31
218016.9
162611.4
25778.8
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2339060803131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3515
#21
11.5
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End0.7
blue by 5.4
16.9
Auto6.3
Teleop9.2
End1.5
Second
5666
#11
9.9
Auto2.5
Teleop6.7
End0.8
blue by 1.5
1626
#14
11.4
Auto3.4
Teleop6.8
End1.2
Third
6897
#23
4.7
Auto3.2
Teleop0.9
End0.7
blue by 4.1
2577
#20
8.8
Auto3.3
Teleop5.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed