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Red80
192329.8
219114.8
91009.0
Blue20
33408.9
86288.6
201614.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4936102030406070808020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.82.4
25.227.6
Auto8.6
Teleop19.9
End1.3
red by 15.1
2016
#12
14.71.4
16.214.7
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End1.3
Second
14.82.2
11.513.7
Auto5.6
Teleop8.1
End1.2
red by 6.0
3340
#17
8.91.1
8.97.8
Auto3.6
Teleop2.5
End2.8
Third
9100
#25
9.02.4
5.88.2
Auto4.3
Teleop4.0
End0.7
red by 0.4
8628
#22
8.61.3
8.97.6
Auto4.6
Teleop3.9
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed