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Red55
55519.2
68974.7
180723.2
Blue48
351511.5
218016.9
2514.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48412030607080905548

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.21.1
20.821.9
Auto10.9
Teleop11.3
End1.0
red by 6.3
16.90.8
14.815.6
Auto6.3
Teleop9.2
End1.5
Second
555
#4
19.21.0
18.419.4
Auto9.4
Teleop9.1
End0.7
red by 4.4
25
#15
14.90.5
14.314.8
Auto4.9
Teleop9.0
End1.0
Third
6897
#23
4.71.1
3.44.5
Auto3.2
Teleop0.9
End0.7
blue by 6.8
3515
#21
11.50.8
9.09.8
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed