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Red38
2514.9
46537.9
180723.2
Blue39
29319.0
91009.0
56669.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53330204060801003839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.21.6
17.415.8
Auto10.9
Teleop11.3
End1.0
red by 4.2
293
#6
19.00.8
14.615.3
Auto9.5
Teleop9.5
End0.0
Second
25
#15
14.91.0
14.613.7
Auto4.9
Teleop9.0
End1.0
red by 5.0
5666
#11
9.90.8
9.310.1
Auto2.5
Teleop6.7
End0.8
Third
4653
#24
7.91.6
13.211.7
Auto4.7
Teleop2.6
End0.6
blue by 1.1
9100
#25
9.00.8
8.39.1
Auto4.3
Teleop4.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed