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Red56
218016.9
351511.5
219114.8
Blue62
33408.9
249520.5
29319.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4654204060801005662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.90.4
16.516.9
Auto6.3
Teleop9.2
End1.5
blue by 3.6
20.50.4
20.220.6
Auto7.9
Teleop10.7
End2.0
Second
14.80.3
14.514.8
Auto5.6
Teleop8.1
End1.2
blue by 4.2
293
#6
19.00.3
18.719.0
Auto9.5
Teleop9.5
End0.0
Third
3515
#21
11.50.4
11.111.5
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End0.7
red by 2.6
3340
#17
8.90.3
8.68.9
Auto3.6
Teleop2.5
End2.8