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Red58
91009.0
180723.2
83418.4
Blue61
33408.9
249520.5
29319.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565340506070805861

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.2
23.023.2
Auto10.9
Teleop11.3
End1.0
red by 2.7
20.50.3
20.620.9
Auto7.9
Teleop10.7
End2.0
Second
834
#2
18.40.2
18.218.4
Auto8.4
Teleop8.0
End2.1
blue by 0.5
293
#6
19.00.3
19.019.3
Auto9.5
Teleop9.5
End0.0
Third
9100
#25
9.00.2
8.89.0
Auto4.3
Teleop4.0
End0.7
red by 0.1
3340
#17
8.90.3
8.99.2
Auto3.6
Teleop2.5
End2.8