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Red33
540112.5
180736.7
139129.5
Blue44
167634.3
10216.1
249519.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112820501001503344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1807
#11
36.74.5
40.536.0
Auto12.0
Teleop22.4
End2.4
red by 2.5
34.32.4
37.935.5
Auto12.7
Teleop17.0
End4.6
Second
1391
#20
29.54.5
38.333.8
Auto8.9
Teleop18.8
End1.8
red by 9.9
2495
#24
19.72.4
21.519.1
Auto7.1
Teleop10.2
End2.4
Third
5401
#27
12.54.5
19.214.7
Auto7.5
Teleop3.7
End1.3
blue by 3.6
102
#9
16.12.4
18.616.2
Auto7.2
Teleop8.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
93%Melody oddsMissed85%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
45%Ensemble oddsMissed53%Ensemble oddsMissed