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Red68
162613.1
253935.4
68978.8
Blue67
7518.4
201616.7
5618.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69705060806867

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.40.3
39.839.5
Auto10.7
Teleop18.4
End6.3
red by 17.0
75
#6
18.41.1
20.919.8
Auto10.7
Teleop5.8
End1.9
Second
1626
#13
13.10.3
13.913.7
Auto6.3
Teleop6.1
End0.8
blue by 4.9
56
#30
18.01.1
21.920.9
Auto7.4
Teleop8.9
End1.7
Third
8.80.3
8.58.2
Auto7.5
Teleop1.6
End-0.4
blue by 8.0
2016
#28
16.71.1
20.219.1
Auto6.4
Teleop8.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsEarned72%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
47%Ensemble oddsEarned26%Ensemble oddsMissed