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Red70
167634.3
599214.6
45759.1
Blue42
691120.7
5618.0
25546.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions665601001502007042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.30.2
35.535.7
Auto12.7
Teleop17.0
End4.6
red by 13.6
6911
#16
20.71.3
21.620.3
Auto6.4
Teleop12.6
End1.7
Second
5992
#33
14.60.2
15.816.0
Auto7.4
Teleop6.9
End0.3
blue by 3.4
56
#30
18.01.3
20.919.5
Auto7.4
Teleop8.9
End1.7
Third
4575
#15
9.10.2
6.76.9
Auto4.4
Teleop4.3
End0.3
red by 2.9
2554
#32
6.11.3
9.58.2
Auto1.1
Teleop4.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsMissed46%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsEarned