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Red40
540112.5
162613.1
3032.9
Blue57
33312.7
253935.4
3698.7
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions278002040601001201404057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1626
#13
13.10.3
13.713.4
Auto6.3
Teleop6.1
End0.8
blue by 22.3
35.41.4
39.538.1
Auto10.7
Teleop18.4
End6.3
Second
5401
#27
12.50.3
14.714.4
Auto7.5
Teleop3.7
End1.3
blue by 0.2
333
#31
12.71.4
15.914.5
Auto4.2
Teleop7.4
End1.1
Third
303
#29
2.90.3
2.01.7
Auto0.9
Teleop1.4
End0.6
blue by 5.8
369
#34
8.71.4
10.99.5
Auto3.5
Teleop4.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned46%Ensemble oddsMissed