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Red11
540112.5
25546.1
2510.0
Blue79
589537.7
201616.7
162613.1
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions328302040601001201401601179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5401
#27
12.51.6
14.412.9
Auto7.5
Teleop3.7
End1.3
blue by 25.1
37.70.0
38.538.5
Auto16.6
Teleop18.9
End2.2
Second
25
#36
10.01.6
11.810.3
Auto3.1
Teleop5.8
End1.2
blue by 6.7
2016
#28
16.70.0
17.017.0
Auto6.4
Teleop8.0
End2.3
Third
2554
#32
6.11.6
8.26.6
Auto1.1
Teleop4.4
End0.6
blue by 7.0
1626
#13
13.10.0
13.413.4
Auto6.3
Teleop6.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed87%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed